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Dire Consequences of the U.S. Withdrawal from the Climate Action Treaty

Writer's picture: Dr. Katie Williams (PhD, DSc)Dr. Katie Williams (PhD, DSc)

The recent decision by former President Donald Trump to withdraw the United States from the previously established climate action treaty marks a devastating setback in the global fight against climate change. As an ecologist and environmentalist, I cannot help but express my profound disappointment at this reckless move, which disregards both scientific consensus and the urgent need for international cooperation in addressing one of the most pressing issues of our time.

US Withdraw from Climate Action Treaty

Trump's administration justified the withdrawal by claiming that the treaty imposed unfair economic burdens on the United States, arguing that it disadvantaged American industries and workers while allowing other major polluters, such as China and India, to continue increasing emissions. The former president contended that the treaty's commitments were detrimental to the US economy, costing jobs and stifling growth in key sectors such as coal, oil, and manufacturing. Additionally, he asserted that the agreement was ineffective and that the US could pursue environmental goals independently without being constrained by international mandates.


However, these justifications fail to consider the long-term implications and the broader economic and environmental context. While short-term economic gains may seem appealing, the reality is that climate change will impose far greater financial costs in the form of natural disasters, infrastructure damage, and public health crises. Moreover, remaining in the treaty would have provided the US with opportunities to lead in the emerging green economy, fostering innovation and creating new jobs in renewable energy and sustainable technology sectors. By stepping away, the US cedes ground to other nations that are investing in clean energy, potentially losing its competitive edge.


The climate action treaty, originally signed to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change, was a pivotal step in global governance. It aimed to curb greenhouse gas emissions, transition economies toward renewable energy, and ultimately limit global warming to manageable levels. The withdrawal of the US, one of the world's largest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions, undermines the very fabric of this international agreement and sends a dangerous message to other nations.


One of the most concerning aspects of the US withdrawal is the anticipated rise in CO2 emissions. Prior to the exit, projections suggested that adherence to the treaty would have led to a gradual decline in US emissions, contributing to a collective global reduction effort. However, without the regulatory frameworks and commitments enforced by the treaty, studies estimate that global CO2 levels could rise by an additional 0.3 to 0.4 gigatons per year. The US alone was responsible for approximately 5.2 gigatons of CO2 emissions annually prior to the treaty, and without its participation in reduction efforts, this figure is expected to stagnate or even increase.

Donald Trump Climate Action Treaty

The impact of these increased emissions will be profound. Rising temperatures will accelerate ice melt in polar regions, contributing to rising sea levels and threatening coastal communities worldwide. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, wildfires, and droughts, will become more frequent and intense, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. Moreover, the rollback of climate policies in the US could embolden other nations to follow suit, further diminishing the collective momentum needed to address climate change on a global scale.


From an economic perspective, the withdrawal is equally short-sighted. The transition to a low-carbon economy presents a wealth of opportunities for innovation, job creation, and sustainable development. By stepping away from the treaty, the US risks falling behind other nations that are investing heavily in renewable energy and green technologies. The long-term economic cost of climate inaction far outweighs the short-term benefits perceived by deregulation and continued reliance on fossil fuels.


The decision to leave the climate action treaty has also tarnished the credibility of the US on the global stage. Climate change is a borderless crisis that demands collaboration and solidarity. Other nations, particularly developing countries that contribute the least to emissions but suffer the most from climate-related disasters, look to powerful economies like the US for leadership and support. The withdrawal signals a retreat from responsibility and a disregard for the future of our planet.


As environmentalists, we must continue to advocate for policies that prioritise the health of our environment and the well-being of future generations. The scientific community remains steadfast in its warnings, and it is imperative that citizens, activists, and policymakers work together to push for renewed commitments at both national and local levels. Despite the federal government's stance, numerous states, cities, and corporations across the US are stepping up their efforts to reduce emissions and invest in sustainable practices.


The climate crisis is not an issue we can afford to postpone or politicise. The longer we delay decisive action, the greater the consequences for biodiversity, ecosystems, and human societies. It is my sincere hope that future administrations will recognise the gravity of the situation and re-engage with the international community to take bold, science-based action against climate change. Until then, the fight for a sustainable future must continue with unwavering determination.

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